Author Archive

Mechanical, Actual ?

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  EURCAD, EURJPY, NOK Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

On our last blog we discussed what has proved to be our most successful strategy for making a profit, BREAKOUTS.

I have received lots of feedback with regard to this subject and was encouraged when my blog was stamped a “Favourite” by a well known spokesperson within the Financial Sector. He is regularly seen on Sky News commenting from his City Offices with regards the Markets.

Trading is an emotional subject and your frame of mind as you sit at your computer may well effect the results that you will get. My office at home has the walls surrounded with pictures of happy memories and I may play my favourite music in the background as I do my analysis. I suggest you read “Trading in the Zone” by Mark Douglas to expand on these comments.

As it is an “Emotional” subject, the more “Mechanical” we can make it, the less our “Emotions” will effect our decisions. I as a person or we as a group, would never agree on a 100% “Mechanical” or “Black Box” system to do everything for us, and no one yet has invented one, despite many claims that they have.

Therefore a combination of the Mechanical and confirmation by you the human being, is our answer.

The human eye and the training you have had should point out to you, Support, Resistance, Round Numbers, Price as always being our No1 indicator. This should eliminate getting into a trade that the “Mechanical” system offers us.

With all this in mind, lets take a look at a couple of current Mechanically alerted trades that we have been offered but have declined and why.

EURCAD Daily

EURCAD

We had received a mechanical signal to go short on this cross, however when you look at the chart there is little space for the trade to work with a key support area marginally below our alert. We have a RN further below and we would be better awaiting Price to give us a BOB through the Support and use it as Resistance. We would then have plenty of room to reach T1 before reaching the RN, which would offer support. Trade not taken.

EURJPY

EURJPY Daily

Again we have the same scenario with the EURJPY, except our support is within touching distance of a MAJOR RN. We would be better off waiting a BOB of the RN 100.00 and using Support as Resistance. Trade not taken.

NOK

NOK Daily

To show we do get “Long” trades, the NOK has given us a mechanical alert, however previous Resistance and RN 6.0000 are all within a small area that taking the trade could prove the wrong decision. A BOB of the Resistance and Price turning this to support would be a better set-up. For those sharp eyed  amongst you you will see a “Cup & Handle” formation which offers hope of a possible further Bullish move.

In these 3 Mechanical alerts our knowledge and training prevented us taking the trades. To get the knowledge and the tools to give you this edge, become a member of the “Trading Room” by clicking the link below. Use “JDM” for a discount.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

 Find us on Facebook   Follow us on Twitter   Visit our blog 

 

Breakout !

Thursday, December 8th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  CADCHF Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

After many hours trying and learning and with lots of questions answered, we have gathered enough proof that “Breakouts” proove to be the most successful strategy to trade with positive results.

If you squeeze a tube of toothpaste without removing the cap, it will eventually “Breakout” with an initial burst of power.

If you add your confluence of events to this force then we stack the odds in our favour. A great deal of patience is required to await the “Breakout” and many a time it is like making Popcorn, when one pops they all follow. This is when our skills as a Dynamic Trader comes into play.

With years of experience, Javid has provided you with the tools to find these Breakouts and manage your trades with confidence.

There are strategies coming out of your ears and our survey showed that those people that had success, did so using Breakouts.

Those that read my blogs will understand that I am an aggressive trader and have on times entered to early and took a loss. We will not win every trade, but aim to stack the odds in our favour.

When the markets are trending (What we like to see) they will enter into a series of Pullbacks or even consolidation, before retuning to the trend and produce a further Breakout. We do have to be aware of FALSE Breakouts, however your Dynamic Trader Toolbox will reduce these odds.

One of these Breakouts triggered this week was the CADCHF, lets take a look.

CADCHF Daily

Price has been squeezed between Support and the VI which offered the Resistance. The toothpaste was squeezed and burst out above the VI.

What normally happens is a Breakout, followed by a pullback and then continuation, the other thing to remember is the longer the consolidation the more explosive the Breakout.

CADCHF Daily

Is it any coincidence that the initial Breakout pulled back around the RN before retesting and breaking through, on its move upwards ?

This is just one example of many crosses now providing a Breakout opportunity.

To learn more and become consistent, become a member.

Remember we are always looking to trade with the trend.

Be patient.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

 Find us on Facebook   Follow us on Twitter   Visit our blog 

And he HUFfed and he puffed and he ?

Thursday, November 24th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  EURHUF Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

Happy Thanksgiving to all our friends on the other side of the pond for today, I hope you all had a great days with your families.

As you would imagine with the markets closed in the USA today, activity would have been quite. That said we are as the other bloggers have posted signs of movement and opportunities raising their head. Before you dive into any of these trades, take your time and make sure you carry out your normal checklist.

Over the last few days I have been triggered into a couple of NEW trades, which after what seems ages of doing nothing, a pleasant suprise.

So what have we got ?

EUR – 300+ pips in profit, not yet risk free. (Short)

EURCHF – 220 pips in loss, not stopped out. (Short)

These 2 trades have been going since  early October, September respectfully and have been written about on more than one occasion. Click here to read about the EUR and the EURCHF.

Our new entry’s from this week so far are, GBP, AUD, DKK and EURHUF. Again these trades have been analysed on the blogs and many of you may also be in the trades. Click here to read the analysis on the GBP, AUD. The DKK has been mentioned previously by Zaheer, so that leaves the EURHUF. This may be a new currency for some of you, so lets take a closer look.

EURHUF

Trend is up on both Weekly and Daily

Price is above the Daily VI

Momentum is positive on weekly and daily

Pattern has given a pullback signal last Friday

Structure given thumbs up from Emma

ATR 1 is 4.000 compared to ATR 21 which is 5.000

MACD is below the zero line, we would have preferred it to be above.

Normal trade is at £0.27 per pip compared to the average £0.60 per pip.

Around the 9 September would have been the time to catch the initial BOB.

Lets look at the weekly chart.

Weekly

Will we break Resistance from the recent Consolidation and head towards the 400.000 ?

Lets look at the Daily

Daily

Our trend is up, so we are looking for a Long trade.

Since breaking out of Consolidation we have produced an upward support line with price touching 5 to 6 times.

Do you enter on a BOB or a Pullback ?

Being aggressive I have entered on my pullback signal and awaited my entry to be triggered. The more Conservative entry would be to wait for price to BOB from previous High, which could offer Resistance.

To learn more and become consistent, become a member.

Remember we are always looking to trade with the trend.

Be patient.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

Greece Lightining

Tuesday, November 15th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  EUR Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

Those regular readers of the blog would have seen over the weekend, our last look at the Euro crisis come into force. Those that missed it click to read up on our thoughts. Euro Crisis.

Which country will be next to catch cold ? France or Spain have been thrown into the hat, we will wait and see. The German GDP figures did not show they are as strong as they themselves have portrayed. I am sure there is still plenty of news still to come in this episode.

As Technical Analyst’s we say the news is in the price so lets look to the charts.

EUR Daily

We are looking for Confluence of events, what is your check list ? Let me help.

1. Trend, Down (We trade with the trend, therefore looking for a short)

2. Bias, Is PRICE above or below the VI ? (Looking for it to be below if we are going to go short)

3. Momentum, Weekly and Daily showing weakness (members will see why)

4. Pattern, Support, Resistance, Head & Shoulders ??? (We have had a nice flag, with price about to BOB of support. Where would the next support be ? Previous support ? RN ?)

5. Structure, Twins are in agreement. (Members will see this)

6. ATR, Daily = 130, How far have we moved today ?

7. MACD, Are we above the zero line or below ? (Prefer to be below if going short)

Are your cards stacked for a SHORT ?

To learn more and become consistent, become a member.

Remember we are always looking to trade with the trend.

Be patient.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

Papandreou, Berlusconi, Next ?

Thursday, November 10th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  EUR Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

It is beginning to look like a line of dominoes, one goes and they all follow. We are still not clear  100% on Greece, despite the resignation and now the baton has been passed to Italy, whose leader looks to have also resigned at the 1st hurdle…………

Our last blog gave a full insight of where we were with the Euro prior to the fun and games of the last 7 days, refresh your memory by clicking on EURO.

Both Weekly and Daily charts are now showing weakness and momentum is in favour of the trend (Down). Both of the Emma sisters are now in agreement since our last visit and today with an average move of 193 pips, we saw a move of over 330 pips, breaking below our previous low.

This may well have triggered those conservative ones amongst you into the trade. I would imagine an amount of profit taking, however next support is around the 1.3200

EUR Daily

1, 2, 3 shows Resistance with Previous High, VI and RN accordingly, 4 shows Support that has been broken by today’s large candle, which may pullback tomorrow on profit taking and also the more conservative support being the previous lower low. 5 shows MACD currently below the centre line.

You will see we have plenty of COE.

Remember we are always looking to trade with the trend.

Be patient.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

Greek Meze or Sour Yoghurt ?

Wednesday, November 2nd, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  EUR Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

Just when the Euro waters were calming and a trade might have been spotted, Greece decide to cause their own Tsunami by announcing a referendum to the Euro bailout possibly in December. Add to this the large candles Sunday pm in the JPY crosses and the week is coming to an end whilst we wait for some sort of stabilisation.

Remember not being in a trade, IS A TRADE. You must resist the twitchy fingers and sweaty palms forcing you to take a trade when patience will serve you better.

The Euro long term (Weekly) is showing Bearish momentum, despite a recent move up to the VI around the 1.40000. A break above 1.42000 could change to Bullish or below 1.31000 show further weakness. A trend line of the last 2 higher lows has now changed from support and offered resistance and the recent high last week. We also can see Divergence on the MACD.

Euro Weekly

The Daily chart has showed a band of consolidation from May to September before price passed below the VI, it has since produced a low at the beginning of October and bounced back to use the VI and last years high as resistance. Price is showing a Bullish momentum, however more recent we have signs of weakness.

Euro Daily

Uncle Bob’s cat has winked twice, whilst cousin Emma looks as if she may return to her previous ways after sending you a letter on Monday.

Be patient.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst

Happy Diwali.

Wednesday, October 26th, 2011

Good Evening / Morning Dynamic Traders

“Better to have tried and failed, than not tried at all”

Cross =  XAU Daily below  (Courtesy of Advanced Get / E Signal)

Market Analysis & Reports

As the politicians are left discussing the answers to our EURO economic solution, (If there is one), many of you are probably celebrating Diwali-The Festival of Lights. Happy Diwali to any of my readers.

For those less informed the fireworks going off into the night is not people getting the date wrong for Guy Fawkes but people celebrating Diwali.

We will have to wait and see what firework the EURO ministers are going to serve up in the morning and to that end, it is better to stay out of the EURO.

Returning to the Diwali celebrations and the well known fact that the Asians are very fond of Gold at this time …. is it a coincidence that we have our first weekly Green bar for 8 weeks ? Also EMMA has tipped her toe on the right side of the line and we recently had a double bottom in what has generally been an up-trend.

At a time of uncertainty in any EURO linked crosses, maybe an opportunity is opening in the metals ?

Trading Room Members would have been given an entry that would have triggered Monday and you would be in profit, if you are more cautious today may have been for you. If you are extra cautious….. Happy Diwali.

XAU Daily

If you are not a Dynamic Trader Member and want to learn these strategies then click on the link below and improve your success.

Remember PRICE is your number 1 indicator, Support & Resistance is your second. Keep it simple.

Please do your own analysis before entering a trade.

PLEASE READ THE OTHER FREE BLOGS TO IMPROVE YOUR EDUCATION.

Anne Chapman , Bijal Shah , Clayton Farnworth , Javid Shaik , Richard Monnery , Sonia Molina , Zaheer Anwari

If you would like to receive free educational emails about the Forex, Register here.

If you would like to become a Dynamic Trader member, you will need to have completed our Forex Apprenticeship. For details click here,Trading Room here.

Trade with Passion

John Maher
Forex Analyst